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Africa & Middle East Subscriber Totals 1Q06 - 2Q09 | Africa Mobile Operators by Affiliation | Mobile Operator Performance by Ownership | Africa Mobile Penetration | Africa Mobile Subscriber Growth q-o-q
At the start of the first quarter 2008 there were some 158 mobile operators known to have live networks in Africa. Of these 97 (61 percent) are affiliated in some way with major international telecommunciations groups e.g. Zain, MTN, Vodafone, et al.
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Source: Industry data & estimates c. 2009 Blycroft Ltd
Blycroft estimates that there will be some 415.3 million mobile subscribers in Africa at the end of July 2009; up from 320.8 million in the same period in 2008, and representing growth of some 29 percent. This compares to the Middle East, which, including Turkey and Afghanistan, will have some 243.7 million subscribers at the end of 2Q 2009, up from 199.6 million in the same period 2008, and representing annual growth of 22 percent.
Source: Industry data & estimates c. 2008 Blycroft Ltd
In 1Q 2006 there were some 147.4 million mobile subscribers in Africa; and by 1Q 2008 the number had risen to 301.7 million. The networks affiliated with international telecommunications operators accounted for some 88 percent of all mobile subscribers in 1Q 2008. However, although some groups have demonstrated spectacular growth, the overall 'group' performance shows that the non-affiliated sector has achieved greater growth, albeit from a much smaller base. So in 1Q 2006 there were some 131.6 million subscribers affiliated with the larger international operators, which has risen to 134.71 million in 1Q 2008; an increase of 102 percent. The non-affiliated sector had some 15.82 million subscribers in 1Q 2006, which has risen to 35.37 million in 1Q 2008, representing growth of 124 percent.
Source: Industry data & estimates c. 2008 Blycroft Ltd
Mobile phone penetration in Africa for 1Q 2006 stood at some 16 percent, and many analysts thought that growth in Africa woud be unlikely to exceed 20 -25 percent. However, by 1Q 2008 mobile penetration had achieved a satisfactory 32 percent. So far mobile penetration has enjoyed consistant growth over the last eight quarters. If this growth continued then Africa would achieve 100 percent mobile penetration by 2012. Whist this would be a very desirable state, it is unlikely, as there are a number of barriers to growth which still have to be addressed in the wider market.
Source: Industry data & estimates c. 2008 Blycroft Ltd
So whilst the number of new mobile subscribers has been generally upward over the last eight quarters, the number of net additions in 1Q 2008 suggests a slacking of the recent hectic pace, whilst the percentage growth rate shows a clear slowing quarter-on-quarter, although this is to be expected as the subscriber case matures.
Source: Industry data & estimates c. 2008 Blycroft Ltd
Blycroft researches and analyses mobile subscriber trends by operator and by state in each weekly issue of Africa & Middle East Telecom Week. You can now access this data for your own management briefings and internal forecasts. Just browse down the list below and make your selection(s). Your selected data will be e-mailed to you.
Quarter 2 2009 data | Quarter 1 2009 data | Quarter 4 2008 data | Quarter 3 2008 data | Quarter 2 2008 data | Sample Data
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 Middle East Mobile Group Market Share 1Q 2007
Source: industry sources, Blycroft estimates c. Blycroft 2007
Blycroft's mobile operator subscriber database permits the presentation of the data in a variety of ways to allow readers to discern emerging trends and longer term developments. In this analysis we looked at Middle East Mobile Group Market Share as at 1Q 2007. For this analysis we show the full subscriber numbers for each individual operator that forms part of a Group. By way of illustration, Zantel’s subscriber base is attributed in full to Etisalat, on the basis that although Etisalat has a minority holding, it is the largest stakeholder. In recognition of its market position, and also to avodi the ‘double counting’of subscribers, Vodacom is shown as a Group, despite a significant stake in the business being held by Vodafone.
This data can be reworked to show the equity interest, and so allow readers to highlight the major acquisitions and disposals of equity on a quarterly basis. This enables the tracking of investment strategies of the main investors within the market.
A & ME SUBSCRIBER STATISTICS:
Gulf States Mobile Network Subscriber Statistics: 1Q 2006 Blycroft’s Mobile Network Subscriber Statistics for the Gulf States cover 10 countries and 44,379,215 subscribers.
Mobile subscribers in the Middle East Gulf States by country
|
Country |
Subscribers 1Q 06 |
Regional Share % |
|
Afghanistan |
1,130,000 |
3% |
|
Bahrain |
808,000 |
2% |
|
Iran |
9,190,211 |
21% |
|
Iraq |
5,839,638 |
13% |
|
Kuwait |
2,425,055 |
5% |
|
Oman |
1,601,500 |
4% |
|
Qatar |
800,000 |
2% |
|
Saudi Arabia |
15,518,706 |
35% |
|
UAE |
4,766,105 |
11% |
|
Yemen |
2,300,000 |
5% |
| |
|
|
|
Regional Total |
44,379,215 |
100% |
Source: Blycroft Ltd
Copyright 2006 Blycroft Ltd
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22-pages of detailed data on the African mobile industry with analysis by Country and by Operator.